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Inflation Vs Fed

Writer's picture: Stephen H Akin Stephen H Akin

Inflationary pressure continues to rise constraining the FRB


As Written three years ago this month:


Bond Buyer

article from January 2022 by Jessica Learner


Rising rates



“We've had an unprecedented era of low rates," said Stephen Akin, founder of Akin Investment, a registered investment advisor. "Inflation really could get away from the Federal Reserve; it's not out of the realm of possibility.”


Vibrant orange flames twist and flicker against a dark background, creating a dynamic and intense visual of fire in motion.
A vivid depiction of fiery chaos symbolizing the potential runaway nature of inflation beyond the control of the Federal Reserve Board.

December Hiring Smashes Estimates


Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 256,000 in December, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment trended up in health care, government, and social assistance. Retail trade added jobs in December, following a job loss in November.

Two charts: Unemployment rate line chart shows a slight increase from 3.5% to 4%. Nonfarm payroll bar chart varies monthly, peaking around 500k.
The charts depict U.S. job market trends from December 2022 to December 2024, highlighting a steady rise in unemployment rates and variable monthly changes in nonfarm payroll employment.

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Inflation expectations soared


with the 5-10 Year horizon surging to its highest since 2008


UMich reports that inflation expectations are being shaped by beliefs about future policy. The share of consumers worried about the prospect of tariff hikes continues to rise.


Graph shows rising inflation uncertainty from 1977-2025 with black and red lines. Notable peaks in 1980s, 2008, and 2022. University of Michigan.
Chart depicting rising consumer uncertainty regarding future inflation trends, emphasizing differences in inflation expectations for the year ahead and over 5-10 years from 1977 to early 2025.
 

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